Premier League odds make Arsenal the favorite at 58% on Kalshi and 58% on Polymarket as of September 13, 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Manchester City carries the widest cross-venue spread among the eight matched teams below at 5 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not predictions, recommendations, or trading advice.
Kalshi and Polymarket both list team contracts for the 2026-27 English Premier League champion. Each team trades in a separate order book. Kairos puts the venue books together so traders can compare the same club, season, price, and rule before sending an order. Check Kairos data because prices and available size can move after this timestamp.
What are the Premier League odds right now?
Arsenal led both verified snapshots at 58 cents. Manchester City followed at 33 cents on Kalshi and 28 cents on Polymarket. Chelsea ranked third at 10 cents and 6 cents. Those last trades put 5 percentage points between the Manchester City contracts and 4 points between the Chelsea contracts.
| Contract | Kalshi price | Polymarket price | Implied probability | Cross-venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 58.00 cents | 58.00 cents | 58.00% on both venues | 0.00 percentage points |
| Manchester City | 33.00 cents | 28.00 cents | 33.00% Kalshi, 28.00% Polymarket | 5.00 percentage points |
| Chelsea | 10.00 cents | 6.00 cents | 10.00% Kalshi, 6.00% Polymarket | 4.00 percentage points |
| Liverpool | 4.00 cents | 2.70 cents | 4.00% Kalshi, 2.70% Polymarket | 1.30 percentage points |
| Manchester United | 1.00 cent | 1.50 cents | 1.00% Kalshi, 1.50% Polymarket | 0.50 percentage points |
| Aston Villa | 1.00 cent | 0.30 cents | 1.00% Kalshi, 0.30% Polymarket | 0.70 percentage points |
| Brentford | 1.00 cent | 0.30 cents | 1.00% Kalshi, 0.30% Polymarket | 0.70 percentage points |
| Brighton | 1.00 cent | 0.40 cents | 1.00% Kalshi, 0.40% Polymarket | 0.60 percentage points |
The table uses the latest completed trade returned by each venue's public event feed. A 58-cent Yes contract represents a 58% market-implied probability before fees. Last trade is historical. The current bid, ask, and available quantity control the next fill. The implied probability explainer connects contract cents to a one-dollar settlement value.
Where can traders trade Premier League markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket both carry named-team contracts for the 2026-27 Premier League champion. Kalshi listed 20 active team contracts in its public event feed at this check. Polymarket listed 24 active outcomes. Coverage differs, so a team on one venue may have no matched row on the other.
Kalshi publishes a transaction-fee method based on expected contract earnings, and some markets can use a different fee schedule. Polymarket publishes fee documentation and market-level fee records. Traders should inspect the live order ticket before placing an order. A visible last-trade gap can disappear inside the bid-ask spread or after fees.
Kairos aggregates Kalshi and Polymarket books with execution beside the comparison. Traders can review how Polymarket markets work and track other season-long markets through NFL Super Bowl odds and NBA Finals odds. Named teams, current books, and one terminal.
How do the 2026-27 Premier League markets resolve?
Kalshi resolves a named contract Yes when that club becomes the 2026-27 English Premier League champion. Its Arsenal rule states: "If Arsenal is the 2026-27 English Premier League champion, then the market resolves to Yes." Kalshi uses the same named-club test across the event.
Polymarket resolves the event according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League Championship. Its rules state: "If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win" under Premier League rules, that team's market resolves No. Polymarket names official Premier League information as the primary resolution source and permits a consensus of credible reporting.
Polymarket also sends the event to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027 at 11:59 p.m. ET, or no winner is declared by then. Contract wording controls settlement. Traders need to match the club, season, and deadline before comparing prices across venues.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different Premier League odds?
Separate traders place orders on separate books, producing different bids, asks, depth, and completed trades. Manchester City's verified last trades differed by 5 points. Arsenal's matched exactly at 58 cents. Neither comparison proves that two opposite orders can be executed at those prices because the live quotes and available size may already differ.
A trader should compare the current bid and ask, confirm both contracts cover the same 2026-27 champion, review each fee, and read the settlement language. Event contracts carry real market risk. Kairos keeps the data and order flow in one workflow. Start trading on Kairos.
Sources
Kalshi 2026-27 Premier League market Kalshi public event API Polymarket 2026-27 Premier League market Polymarket public event API Kalshi fee documentation Polymarket fee documentation